Theory of Statistics

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MODULE CODE

MA1XXX

CREDIT VALUE

10 ECTS (20 UK CREDITS)

DELIVERY

Semester 2
Theory of Statistics

Module Aims

Aim 1


The module is an introduction to statistical analysis theory and its main objective is to teach students how to infer useful information about a population by using estimation methods, confidence intervals and hypotheses testing.

Theory of Statistics

Module Content

Methods of Estimation: Method of Moments, Method of Maximum Likelihood, Bayes Estimation. 

Estimation: Efficient and Sufficient Statistics, Unbiased Estimators, Exponential Families of Distributions, Cramer-Rao lower bound, Minimum Variance Unbiased Estimators, Rao-Blackwell Theorem. 

Confidence Intervals: Confidence interval for the mean of a normal distribution, Confidence interval for the difference of means of two normal distributions, Confidence interval for the variance of a normal distribution, Confidence interval for the ratio of variances of two normal distributions. 

Testing of Hypothesis: Tests for the mean and the variance of a normal distribution, Tests for proportions, Neyman-Pearson Lemma, Likelihood ratio tests, Link between confidence interval and hypothesis testing. 

One and two sample statistical inference using R. 

PROGRAMME SPECIFICATIONS

Learning Outcomes

On successful completion of this module, a student will be able to:

LO1


Be able to estimate parameters of standard distributions following the method of moments and the maximum likelihood approach.

LO2


Understand estimators as functions of random variables and assess their properties such as unbiasedness, consistency etc.

LO3


Compare different estimators taking into account several criteria.

LO4


Be able to derive a confidence interval a carry out a hypothesis test.

LO5


Select and apply various statistical methods to real-life problems using R.

Theory of Statistics

Teaching Methods

The module will be delivered on campus, with weekly lecture and tutorial sessions. 

Printed notes will be provided in advance for each section of the course to support and enhance students’ preparation and engagement during class sessions. Lectures will follow the notes, with discussions of the main theoretical topics, and study of examples of the applications of the theory. There will be a strong emphasis on student involvement in discussions in lectures, to encourage a more active approach to learning the material, and to allow the delivery to be tailored to build on the students’ current understanding. 

Regular formative work in tutorial sessions will allow students to internalise the mathematical ideas and methods developed in the lectures, and lead to the development of problem-solving skills. This formative work will also feed back into the delivery of lectures and tutorials. 

Theory of Statistics

Assessment Methods

The module is assessed through a portfolio of exercises and an examination.

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